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Are prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big test

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Polymarket and Kalshi have risen for collecting the ‘wisdom of crowds’. But after high-profile blunders, some wonder if their predictions were just ‘stupid people getting lucky’

Read the original report at theguardian.com.

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theguardian.com

Source headline and summary supplied via Currents News API. First collected by NewsJaws on 2026-11-03. This is an automated news brief, not original NewsJaws reporting. Dates reflect the source publication. Feed delays may apply.

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