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Miami tops List Wire’s projected AP top 10 after five top-eight teams lose

List Wire puts unbeaten Miami first in its post-upset forecast and drops Texas and Alabama from the projected top 10. Saturday’s results were unprecedented in the AP poll era, according to ESPN Research.

BYU football players take the field at Michigan Stadium.
BYU players take the field at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor in 2015. File photograph. Ken Lund from Reno, Nevada, USA, ‘BYU Cougars Take the Field, BYU vs. Michigan, Michigan Stadium, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan (21122737714)’ (resized and converted to WebP). CC BY-SA 2.0.Image sourceImage licence: CC BY-SA 2.0
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Miami tops List Wire’s projected AP college football top 10, published on Oct. 18 after five teams ranked in the top eight lost on Oct. 17. The forecast drops two-loss Texas and Alabama from its top 10 as Saturday’s upsets reshape expectations for the next poll. It is List Wire’s projection, not an official AP ranking.

Why Miami leads List Wire’s projection

List Wire places unbeaten Miami first after the Hurricanes survived Florida State’s upset bid in double overtime. The outlet puts Georgia second despite its home loss to Auburn, and BYU third after beating Notre Dame. Ohio State appears fourth following its win at Indiana. Those placements reflect List Wire’s judgment about the next poll; the results behind them are already settled.

ESPN Research said Oct. 17 was the first day since the AP poll began in 1936 that five top-eight teams lost. The teams were No. 1 Georgia, No. 2 Notre Dame, No. 5 Indiana, No. 6 Alabama and No. 7 Texas, according to List Wire. The defeats spanned the day’s games, with at least one top-eight loss in each window from the noon Eastern kickoffs through prime time, ESPN reported.

The results behind the projected shake-up

No. 8 BYU beat No. 2 Notre Dame 28-24 in Provo, Utah, ESPN reported. Auburn defeated top-ranked Georgia on a field goal as time expired. No. 14 Tennessee beat sixth-ranked Alabama 26-10 in Knoxville, where fans stormed the field afterward. Those three losses account for much of the movement at the top of List Wire’s forecast, including BYU’s projected rise to third.

Ohio State beat No. 5 Indiana 19-15 in Bloomington. Indiana still had a late chance to take the lead, but a reception by Nick Marsh was nullified when he stepped out of bounds, ESPN reported. List Wire projects the Buckeyes fourth after that win, while noting that quarterback Julian Sayin is expected to miss multiple weeks. The outlet also places unbeaten UCLA at No. 10 following its victory over Wisconsin.

Texas’ loss to Florida joins Georgia’s defeat by Auburn and Alabama’s loss at Tennessee among the results that changed CBS Sports’ separate bowl projections. CBS still projects Alabama into the College Football Playoff first round, despite its second loss. That bracket forecast addresses postseason selection, while List Wire’s forecast addresses the next AP top 10; the two projections therefore give readers different measures of how Saturday affected Alabama.

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