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Texas opens as 3.5-point home favorite against Ole Miss

FanDuel’s reported opening line favors Texas in Austin, despite consecutive losses to Oklahoma and Florida and Ole Miss’s 5-1 start.

Texas Longhorns players enter the field through smoke before a game.
File photograph of the Texas Longhorns entering the field on opening day in 2007. Johntex, 2007 Texas Longhorns football team entry (resized and converted to WebP). CC BY-SA 3.0.Image sourceImage licence: CC BY-SA 3.0
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Texas opened as a 3.5-point home favorite against Ole Miss for their upcoming Week 8 college football game in Austin, according to separate reports by SB Nation and CBS Sports on October 18. Both attributed the early line to FanDuel. It puts the Longhorns in the favored position after losses to Oklahoma and Florida, while the Rebels arrive with a 5-1 record.

What the 3.5-point line says about Texas and Ole Miss

The spread is narrow enough that the venue matters to how the matchup is framed. SB Nation’s Gerald Goodridge assessed Texas’s home-field advantage at three points and said the teams would be close to even on a neutral field. That is his interpretation of the opening number; the reported betting line itself is Texas favored by 3.5 points at home.

Texas’s recent results give the line added significance. SB Nation reported that the Longhorns had been ranked No. 1 two weeks earlier but then lost to Oklahoma and Florida. CBS Sports raised the prospect of a third straight SEC defeat if Texas loses to Ole Miss. The opening spread nevertheless gives Steve Sarkisian’s team a small advantage for the game in Austin.

Ole Miss’s offense and Texas’s injury question

Ole Miss has beaten LSU and Missouri this season, according to CBS Sports. SB Nation reported that the Rebels were 5-1 and averaging 37.5 points and 6.52 yards per play through six games. It also put their scoring average in conference play at 35.75 points per game. Those figures help explain why a team visiting Texas is being given a relatively small opening handicap.

Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss is central to that offense. CBS Sports described him as a leading SEC playmaker and cited his performances against LSU and Missouri. SB Nation reported that each of his four leading receiving targets averaged more than three catches per game, while two Ole Miss running backs each averaged more than five yards per carry through the first six games. That production gives the Rebels options beyond one receiver or the passing game alone.

Texas also has a defensive question ahead of the matchup. CBS Sports reported that defensive end Colin Simmons, credited with a national-leading 10.5 sacks, had been carted off against Florida. His availability against Ole Miss was unknown in that report. The opening line describes the early market view of the game; it does not establish whether Simmons will play.

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